Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Hiroshi Izumi
Ikuhisa Minowa
45%
55%
Why
28
Age
Δ 6y
35
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Izumi: 28 sig / 6 TD ·
Minowa: 8 sig / 0 TD
Hiroshi Izumi
Ikuhisa Minowa
20
Sig strikes landed
41
39
Sig strikes attempted
78
46
Total strikes landed
38
2.5
Takedowns landed
3.1
5.4
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
111s
Control time
320s
Method
Decision
17%
KO/TKO
7%
Submission
76%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Hiroshi Izumi
0-0
Career record
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
L1
Ikuhisa Minowa
"Minowaman"
60-43-8
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
DREAM 16
—
W
DREAM 14
—
W
DREAM 13
—