Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Hayato Sakurai
Jason High
71%
29%
Why
35
Age
Δ 6y
29
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Sakurai: 13 sig / 2 TD ·
High: 22 sig / 2 TD
Hayato Sakurai
Jason High
20
Sig strikes landed
26
42
Sig strikes attempted
55
30
Total strikes landed
52
2.1
Takedowns landed
2.1
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
142s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
42%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Hayato Sakurai
"Mach"
38-14-2
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DREAM 14
—
Blue corner
Jason High
"The Kansas City Bandit"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29