Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cole Miller
Matt Wiman
72%
28%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 5"
68"
27
Age
Δ 1y
27
22-11
Career record
Δ 4 pp
17-10
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miller: 22 sig / 0 TD ·
Wiman: 76 sig / 1 TD
Cole Miller
Matt Wiman
28
Sig strikes landed
17
77
Sig strikes attempted
56
42
Total strikes landed
21
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
77s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Cole Miller
"Magrinho"
22-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—
Blue corner
W1
Matt Wiman
17-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
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