Prelims1
Lightweight
Cody McKenzie vs Yves Edwards
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2
·Fort Hood
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Cody McKenzie
Yves Edwards
38%
62%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
23
Age
Δ 11y
34
17-10
Career record
Δ 2 pp
43-22-1
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
McKenzie: 16 sig / 2 TD ·
Edwards: 33 sig / 0 TD
Cody McKenzie
Yves Edwards
36
Sig strikes landed
32
124
Sig strikes attempted
89
53
Total strikes landed
56
1.8
Takedowns landed
2.2
5.5
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
137s
Control time
204s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
47%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Cody McKenzie
17-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
23
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP …
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Blue corner
W1
Yves Edwards
43-22-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
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