Back to UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2
Prelims1 Welterweight

DaMarques Johnson vs Mike Guymon

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 ·Fort Hood
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
DaMarques Johnson
Mike Guymon
51% 49%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
29
Age
Δ 8y
36
15-16
Career record
Δ 17 pp
15-7-1
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Johnson: 2 sig / 1 TD · Guymon: 1 sig / 0 TD
DaMarques Johnson
Mike Guymon
24
Sig strikes landed
34
53
Sig strikes attempted
39
49
Total strikes landed
41
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
128s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
35%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

DaMarques Johnson

"Darkness"
15-16
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
W UFC 112: Invincible
—
Blue corner
L1

Mike Guymon

"The Joker"
15-7-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—
W UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
—