Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Rani Yahya
Mike Brown
66%
34%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
26
Age
Δ 9y
35
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yahya: 40 sig / 3 TD ·
Brown: 15 sig / 1 TD
Rani Yahya
Mike Brown
45
Sig strikes landed
44
97
Sig strikes attempted
80
65
Total strikes landed
76
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
5.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
86s
Control time
233s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Rani Yahya
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
L1
Mike Brown
26-10
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 125: Resolution
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