Women's Bantamweight
Jan Finney vs Liz Carmouche
Strikeforce Challengers 12
·Jackson Convention Complex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jan Finney
Liz Carmouche
30%
70%
Why
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
11-13
Career record
Δ 21 pp
14-7
L1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Finney: 26 sig / 1 TD ·
Carmouche: 81 sig / 3 TD
Jan Finney
Liz Carmouche
22
Sig strikes landed
41
73
Sig strikes attempted
84
36
Total strikes landed
49
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
138s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jan Finney
"Cuddles"
11-13
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Werdum
—
Blue corner
W1
Liz Carmouche
"Girlrilla"
14-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce Challengers 10
—