Back to Strikeforce Challengers 12
Welterweight

Marius Zaromskis vs Waachiim Spiritwolf

Strikeforce Challengers 12 ·Jackson Convention Complex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Marius Zaromskis
Waachiim Spiritwolf
94% 6%
Why
30
Age
Δ 5y
35
20-10
Career record
Δ 22 pp
12-14-1
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Could Not Continue · Round 1
Zaromskis: 1 sig / 0 TD · Spiritwolf: 1 sig / 0 TD
Marius Zaromskis
Waachiim Spiritwolf
41
Sig strikes landed
36
100
Sig strikes attempted
87
62
Total strikes landed
48
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
129s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Marius Zaromskis

"The Whitemare"
20-10 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L Strikeforce - Los Angeles
—
L Strikeforce - Miami
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Blue corner
L1

Waachiim Spiritwolf

"Native Warrior"
12-14-1 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L Strikeforce Challengers 11
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