Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Eddie Wineland
Ken Stone
60%
40%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Wineland: 4 sig / 1 TD ·
Stone: 3 sig / 0 TD
Eddie Wineland
Ken Stone
51
Sig strikes landed
40
137
Sig strikes attempted
134
67
Total strikes landed
46
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.4
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.60
Knockdowns
0.20
88s
Control time
65s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Eddie Wineland
25-16-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
WEC 49: Varner vs. Shalorus
—
W
WEC 46: Varner vs. Henderson
—
Blue corner
Ken Stone
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28