Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bart Palaszewski
Kamal Shalorus
92%
8%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
28
Age
Δ 11y
38
37-17
Career record
Δ 16 pp
9-5-3
W2
Current streak
D1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Palaszewski: 51 sig / 0 TD ·
Shalorus: 64 sig / 4 TD
Bart Palaszewski
Kamal Shalorus
40
Sig strikes landed
23
112
Sig strikes attempted
74
50
Total strikes landed
26
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.2
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.70
Knockdowns
0.20
95s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Bart Palaszewski
"Bartimus"
37-17
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
WEC 50: Cruz vs. Benavidez
—
W
WEC 47: Bowles vs. Cruz
—
Blue corner
D1
Kamal Shalorus
"Prince of Persia"
9-5-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
2 fights · 1-0
Last 2
D
WEC 49: Varner vs. Shalorus
—
W
WEC 46: Varner vs. Henderson
—