Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Karo Parisyan
Dennis Hallman
23%
77%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
28
Age
Δ 7y
35
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Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Parisyan: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Hallman: 10 sig / 0 TD
Karo Parisyan
Dennis Hallman
21
Sig strikes landed
17
47
Sig strikes attempted
36
42
Total strikes landed
48
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.8
0.3
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
86s
Control time
246s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Karo Parisyan
"The Heat"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
W1
Dennis Hallman
"Superman"
54-20-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
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