Light Heavyweight
Vladimir Matyushenko vs Alexandre Ferreira
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
·Konig Pilsener Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Vladimir Matyushenko
Alexandre Ferreira
61%
39%
Why
40
Age
Δ 8y
32
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Matyushenko: 19 sig / 2 TD ·
Ferreira: 6 sig / 0 TD
Vladimir Matyushenko
Alexandre Ferreira
27
Sig strikes landed
29
64
Sig strikes attempted
72
43
Total strikes landed
48
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
127s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Vladimir Matyushenko
"The Janitor"
27-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
W
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
—
Blue corner
Alexandre Ferreira
"Cacareco"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32