Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Pascal Krauss
Mark Scanlon
61%
39%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Krauss: 50 sig / 3 TD ·
Scanlon: 33 sig / 3 TD
Pascal Krauss
Mark Scanlon
37
Sig strikes landed
33
77
Sig strikes attempted
68
53
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
152s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Pascal Krauss
"Panzer"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner
Mark Scanlon
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox