Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Brandon Cash
John Devine
84%
16%
Why
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Brandon Cash
John Devine
50
Sig strikes landed
34
101
Sig strikes attempted
85
66
Total strikes landed
54
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
138s
Control time
58s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Brandon Cash
"Money"
0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Blue corner
L1
John Devine
6-5
Career record
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce Challengers 7
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