Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Shana Olsen
Julia Budd
65%
35%
Why
30
Age
Δ 2y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Shana Olsen
Julia Budd
45
Sig strikes landed
49
96
Sig strikes attempted
99
72
Total strikes landed
85
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
158s
Control time
186s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Shana Olsen
"Rock Solid"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Age
30
Blue corner
Julia Budd
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Age
27