Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
James Terry
David Marshall
85%
15%
Why
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
James Terry
David Marshall
53
Sig strikes landed
51
136
Sig strikes attempted
139
73
Total strikes landed
70
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
129s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
James Terry
"Intensity"
19-10
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce Challengers 6
—
Blue corner
David Marshall
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Age
26