Back to Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Noons 2
Women's Bantamweight

Sarah Kaufman vs Marloes Coenen

Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Noons 2 ·SAP Center at San Jose
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Sarah Kaufman
Marloes Coenen
87% 13%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
25
Age
Δ 4y
30
19-4
Career record
Δ 11 pp
23-9
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Kaufman: 12 sig / 0 TD · Coenen: 28 sig / 1 TD
Sarah Kaufman
Marloes Coenen
43
Sig strikes landed
61
81
Sig strikes attempted
169
85
Total strikes landed
77
1.5
Takedowns landed
2.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.70
Knockdowns
0.00
113s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Sarah Kaufman

19-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W Strikeforce Challengers 9
—
W Strikeforce Challengers 6
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Blue corner
L1

Marloes Coenen

23-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L Strikeforce - Miami
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