Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Chris Camozzi
Dongi Yang
62%
38%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
24
Age
Δ 2y
26
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Camozzi: 74 sig / 0 TD ·
Yang: 51 sig / 3 TD
Chris Camozzi
Dongi Yang
53
Sig strikes landed
33
98
Sig strikes attempted
77
74
Total strikes landed
57
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.1
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
187s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Chris Camozzi
25-13
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
—
Blue corner
Dongi Yang
"The Ox"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26