Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ikuhisa Minowa
Satoshi Ishii
65%
35%
Why
35
Age
Δ 11y
24
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 2
Minowa: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Ishii: 7 sig / 6 TD
Ikuhisa Minowa
Satoshi Ishii
38
Sig strikes landed
26
79
Sig strikes attempted
61
42
Total strikes landed
38
2.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
341s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
62%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ikuhisa Minowa
"Minowaman"
61-42-8
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
DREAM 14
—
W
DREAM 13
—
Blue corner
Satoshi Ishii
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24