Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Michihiro Omigawa
Cole Escovedo
35%
65%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
35
Age
Δ 6y
29
18-14-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Omigawa: 1 sig / 1 TD ·
Escovedo: 1 sig / 0 TD
Michihiro Omigawa
Cole Escovedo
29
Sig strikes landed
35
96
Sig strikes attempted
111
25
Total strikes landed
38
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.50
73s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
69%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Michihiro Omigawa
18-14-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DREAM 15
—
Blue corner
W1
Cole Escovedo
"Apache Kid"
18-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DREAM 13
—