Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cheick Kongo
Travis Browne
69%
31%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 3"
79"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
28-10-2
Career record
Δ 0 pp
19-7-1
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kongo: 58 sig / 0 TD ·
Browne: 22 sig / 2 TD
Cheick Kongo
Travis Browne
26
Sig strikes landed
21
48
Sig strikes attempted
57
56
Total strikes landed
41
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
230s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Cheick Kongo
28-10-2
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
—
Blue corner
W1
Travis Browne
"Hapa"
19-7-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
—