Back to UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Light Heavyweight

Jared Hamman vs Kyle Kingsbury

UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares ·Frank Erwin Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jared Hamman
Kyle Kingsbury
63% 37%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
79"
28
Age
28
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hamman: 88 sig / 0 TD · Kingsbury: 79 sig / 9 TD
Jared Hamman
Kyle Kingsbury
43
Sig strikes landed
36
90
Sig strikes attempted
81
65
Total strikes landed
52
2.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.8
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
209s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Jared Hamman

"The Messenger"
15-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—
Blue corner

Kyle Kingsbury

"Kingsbu"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29