Lightweight
Yves Edwards vs John Gunderson
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
·Frank Erwin Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Yves Edwards
John Gunderson
58%
42%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Edwards: 54 sig / 1 TD ·
Gunderson: 15 sig / 0 TD
Yves Edwards
John Gunderson
26
Sig strikes landed
24
59
Sig strikes attempted
56
38
Total strikes landed
48
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.5
1.2
Takedowns attempted
5.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
101s
Control time
240s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Yves Edwards
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
Blue corner
W1
John Gunderson
"Quick Guns"
36-16-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
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L
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
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