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Cole Miller vs Ross Pearson

UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares ·Frank Erwin Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Cole Miller
Ross Pearson
73% 27%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
26
Age
Δ 0y
26
22-11
Career record
Δ 10 pp
21-16
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Miller: 24 sig / 1 TD · Pearson: 26 sig / 0 TD
Cole Miller
Ross Pearson
39
Sig strikes landed
32
122
Sig strikes attempted
100
48
Total strikes landed
46
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
86s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Cole Miller

"Magrinho"
22-11 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—
Blue corner
W1

Ross Pearson

"The Real Deal"
21-16 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—