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Jim Miller vs Gleison Tibau

UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares ·Frank Erwin Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Gleison Tibau
60% 40%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
27
Age
Δ 0y
27
40-19
Career record
Δ 3 pp
34-14
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miller: 29 sig / 0 TD · Tibau: 23 sig / 4 TD
Jim Miller
Gleison Tibau
28
Sig strikes landed
21
80
Sig strikes attempted
77
37
Total strikes landed
40
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
83s
Control time
47s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Jim Miller

"A-10"
40-19 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—
W UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—
Blue corner
W1

Gleison Tibau

34-14
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
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