Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Colleen Schneider
Liz Carmouche
72%
28%
Why
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 2
Schneider: 13 sig / 1 TD ·
Carmouche: 15 sig / 2 TD
Colleen Schneider
Liz Carmouche
44
Sig strikes landed
46
101
Sig strikes attempted
103
70
Total strikes landed
76
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
137s
Control time
180s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Colleen Schneider
0-0
Career record
Age
28
Blue corner
Liz Carmouche
"Girlrilla"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27