Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Miesha Tate
Maiju Kujala
88%
12%
Why
24
Age
Δ 0y
24
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 2
Tate: 33 sig / 2 TD ·
Kujala: 15 sig / 0 TD
Miesha Tate
Maiju Kujala
41
Sig strikes landed
37
96
Sig strikes attempted
76
62
Total strikes landed
46
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
150s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Miesha Tate
"Cupcake"
21-10
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce Challengers 7
—
Blue corner
Maiju Kujala
0-0
Career record
Age
25