Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bobby Lashley
Chad Griggs
69%
31%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 5"
73"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Lashley: 21 sig / 4 TD ·
Griggs: 14 sig / 0 TD
Bobby Lashley
Chad Griggs
25
Sig strikes landed
19
52
Sig strikes attempted
40
49
Total strikes landed
29
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
207s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Bobby Lashley
16-2
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce - Miami
—
Blue corner
Chad Griggs
"The Grave Digger"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32