Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Abongo Humphrey
Mike Kyle
45%
55%
Why
33
Age
Δ 3y
30
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Humphrey: 17 sig / 2 TD ·
Kyle: 43 sig / 1 TD
Abongo Humphrey
Mike Kyle
21
Sig strikes landed
30
52
Sig strikes attempted
66
33
Total strikes landed
54
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
133s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Abongo Humphrey
8-3
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce Challengers 7
—
Blue corner
Mike Kyle
"MAK"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30