Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cory Devela
Bobby Voelker
74%
26%
Why
26
Age
Δ 5y
31
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Cory Devela
Bobby Voelker
39
Sig strikes landed
36
81
Sig strikes attempted
79
62
Total strikes landed
50
2.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
198s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Cory Devela
"The One"
0-0
Career record
Height
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
L1
Bobby Voelker
"Vicious"
19-14
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce Challengers 8
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