Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Johny Hendricks
Charlie Brenneman
58%
42%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
19-8
Career record
Δ 1 pp
20-8
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hendricks: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
Brenneman: 9 sig / 2 TD
Johny Hendricks
Charlie Brenneman
31
Sig strikes landed
22
59
Sig strikes attempted
59
61
Total strikes landed
51
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.0
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
114s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Johny Hendricks
"Bigg Rigg"
19-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Charlie Brenneman
"The Spaniard"
20-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—