Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Tyson Griffin
Takanori Gomi
36%
64%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
26
Age
Δ 6y
32
16-9
Career record
Δ 6 pp
35-15
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Griffin: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Gomi: 5 sig / 0 TD
Tyson Griffin
Takanori Gomi
35
Sig strikes landed
34
64
Sig strikes attempted
69
37
Total strikes landed
48
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
97s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Tyson Griffin
16-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—
Blue corner
L1
Takanori Gomi
"The Fireball Kid"
35-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—