Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mark Munoz
Yushin Okami
22%
78%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
32
Age
Δ 4y
29
15-6
Career record
Δ 3 pp
35-12
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Munoz: 16 sig / 1 TD ·
Okami: 22 sig / 1 TD
Mark Munoz
Yushin Okami
21
Sig strikes landed
30
45
Sig strikes attempted
65
34
Total strikes landed
42
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.3
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
155s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Mark Munoz
"The Filipino Wrecking Machine"
15-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 112: Invincible
—
W
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—
Blue corner
W1
Yushin Okami
"Thunder"
35-12
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—