Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mitsuhiro Ishida
Daiki Hata
66%
34%
Why
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 2
Ishida: 24 sig / 6 TD ·
Hata: 5 sig / 0 TD
Mitsuhiro Ishida
Daiki Hata
39
Sig strikes landed
39
79
Sig strikes attempted
81
58
Total strikes landed
55
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
166s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Mitsuhiro Ishida
"The Endless Warrior"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
Blue corner
Daiki Hata
"DJ Taiki"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28