Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Michihiro Omigawa
Young Sam Jung
59%
41%
Why
35
Age
Δ 10y
25
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Omigawa: 21 sig / 0 TD ·
Jung: 4 sig / 0 TD
Michihiro Omigawa
Young Sam Jung
37
Sig strikes landed
38
71
Sig strikes attempted
79
56
Total strikes landed
49
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
200s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Michihiro Omigawa
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
Blue corner
Young Sam Jung
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25