Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Katsunori Kikuno
Gesias Cavalcante
64%
36%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 5"
71"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 2
Kikuno: 23 sig / 1 TD ·
Cavalcante: 15 sig / 3 TD
Katsunori Kikuno
Gesias Cavalcante
29
Sig strikes landed
23
71
Sig strikes attempted
57
37
Total strikes landed
35
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
97s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Katsunori Kikuno
25-8-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DREAM 13
—
Blue corner
Gesias Cavalcante
"JZ"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27