Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ron Keslar
Chris Cope
71%
29%
Why
30
Age
Δ 3y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Ron Keslar
Chris Cope
42
Sig strikes landed
48
98
Sig strikes attempted
99
61
Total strikes landed
63
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
172s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Ron Keslar
0-0
Career record
Age
30
Blue corner
Chris Cope
"C-Murder"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27