Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Kendall Grove
Goran Reljic
52%
48%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 2"
81"
28
Age
Δ 1y
26
23-18
Career record
Δ 6 pp
15-9
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Grove: 28 sig / 1 TD ·
Reljic: 14 sig / 3 TD
Kendall Grove
Goran Reljic
30
Sig strikes landed
26
63
Sig strikes attempted
57
39
Total strikes landed
40
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
111s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kendall Grove
"Da Spyder"
23-18
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 112: Invincible
—
Blue corner
L1
Goran Reljic
15-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—