Middleweight
Chris Camozzi vs James Hammortree
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chris Camozzi
James Hammortree
78%
22%
Why
24
Age
Δ 3y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Camozzi: 62 sig / 0 TD ·
Hammortree: 29 sig / 2 TD
Chris Camozzi
James Hammortree
40
Sig strikes landed
30
79
Sig strikes attempted
72
59
Total strikes landed
43
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
142s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Chris Camozzi
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner
James Hammortree
"The Sledge"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27