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Middleweight

Josh Bryant vs Kyle Noke

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Josh Bryant
Kyle Noke
56% 44%
Why
30
Age
Δ 0y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Bryant: 9 sig / 0 TD · Noke: 50 sig / 0 TD
Josh Bryant
Kyle Noke
31
Sig strikes landed
37
64
Sig strikes attempted
77
48
Total strikes landed
52
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
150s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Josh Bryant

"The Beast"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner

Kyle Noke

0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30