Heavyweight
James McSweeney vs Travis Browne
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
James McSweeney
Travis Browne
27%
73%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
79"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
McSweeney: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Browne: 19 sig / 0 TD
James McSweeney
Travis Browne
33
Sig strikes landed
48
68
Sig strikes attempted
91
47
Total strikes landed
65
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
105s
Control time
177s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
62%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
James McSweeney
"The Hammer"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
Blue corner
Travis Browne
"Hapa"
0-0
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28