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Main Middleweight

Jamie Yager vs Rich Attonito

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jamie Yager
Rich Attonito
65% 35%
Why
27
Age
Δ 6y
33

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Yager: 29 sig / 0 TD · Attonito: 24 sig / 1 TD
Jamie Yager
Rich Attonito
36
Sig strikes landed
34
76
Sig strikes attempted
66
47
Total strikes landed
52
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jamie Yager

"The Chosyn 1"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Rich Attonito

"The Raging Bull"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33