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Spencer Fisher vs Dennis Siver

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Spencer Fisher
Dennis Siver
60% 40%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Fisher: 52 sig / 0 TD · Siver: 77 sig / 0 TD
Spencer Fisher
Dennis Siver
40
Sig strikes landed
35
94
Sig strikes attempted
139
54
Total strikes landed
50
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
120s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Spencer Fisher

"The King"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
Blue corner
L1

Dennis Siver

23-12 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
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