Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Pat Healy
Bryan Travers
66%
34%
Why
27
Age
Δ 0y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Healy: 59 sig / 4 TD ·
Travers: 35 sig / 2 TD
Pat Healy
Bryan Travers
44
Sig strikes landed
42
112
Sig strikes attempted
100
58
Total strikes landed
63
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.9
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
106s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Pat Healy
"Bam Bam"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Bryan Travers
0-0
Career record
Age
27