Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Bobby Voelker
Roger Bowling
54%
46%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
68"
31
Age
Δ 4y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bobby Voelker
Roger Bowling
39
Sig strikes landed
35
84
Sig strikes attempted
72
53
Total strikes landed
50
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
216s
Control time
165s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Bobby Voelker
"Vicious"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
Roger Bowling
"Relentless"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28