Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Frank Gomez
Wagnney Fabiano
52%
48%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
24
Age
Δ 11y
35
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Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gomez: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Fabiano: 10 sig / 6 TD
Frank Gomez
Wagnney Fabiano
19
Sig strikes landed
18
48
Sig strikes attempted
47
38
Total strikes landed
60
0.1
Takedowns landed
5.5
-0.5
Takedowns attempted
6.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
56s
Control time
473s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Frank Gomez
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner
W1
Wagnney Fabiano
"The Silencer"
17-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
WEC 46: Varner vs. Henderson
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