Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Mark Hominick
Yves Jabouin
60%
40%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hominick: 63 sig / 0 TD ·
Jabouin: 58 sig / 0 TD
Mark Hominick
Yves Jabouin
30
Sig strikes landed
28
80
Sig strikes attempted
74
42
Total strikes landed
41
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
126s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mark Hominick
"The Machine"
21-12
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
WEC 46: Varner vs. Henderson
—
Blue corner
Yves Jabouin
"Tiger"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31