Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Josh Grispi
LC Davis
57%
43%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 5"
69"
22
Age
Δ 8y
30
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Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Grispi: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Davis: 2 sig / 1 TD
Josh Grispi
LC Davis
23
Sig strikes landed
22
54
Sig strikes attempted
52
38
Total strikes landed
49
0.7
Takedowns landed
3.4
0.9
Takedowns attempted
7.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
115s
Control time
298s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Josh Grispi
"The Fluke"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
Blue corner
W1
LC Davis
24-8
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
WEC 47: Bowles vs. Cruz
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