Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Joachim Hansen
Hiroyuki Takaya
64%
36%
Why
31
Age
Δ 2y
33
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hansen: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Takaya: 12 sig / 0 TD
Joachim Hansen
Hiroyuki Takaya
56
Sig strikes landed
43
114
Sig strikes attempted
101
62
Total strikes landed
64
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
149s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Joachim Hansen
"Hellboy"
23-15-1
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DREAM 13
—
Blue corner
Hiroyuki Takaya
"Streetfight Bancho"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33