Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ricardo Funch
Claude Patrick
36%
64%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Funch: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Patrick: 13 sig / 1 TD
Ricardo Funch
Claude Patrick
33
Sig strikes landed
36
69
Sig strikes attempted
75
43
Total strikes landed
54
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
108s
Control time
200s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Ricardo Funch
"Golden Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
Blue corner
Claude Patrick
"The Prince"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30